SUMMARY OF BIAS 2001 THE BOOK

Bias 2001 deals with two vital factors in British flat racing - the class of a horse, (focusing on handicap races), and the importance of where a horse is drawn.

Now, we need to face some important facts. Many racecourses are biased in some way. Some help front-runners, others help galloping types, others favour course specialists. Knowledge of such factors is a vital part of a punter's armoury. However, possibly the most important type of bias is the draw.

At some tracks a poor draw can all but wipe out the chance of a particular horse. All punters know that the draw at certain courses is influential - this book discusses how influential.

Chapter 1 looks in detail at the most consistently draw biased courses in the country over sprint distances (5 & 6 furlongs), based on the statistics of the past five seasons (1996 - 2000).

Chapter 2 examines courses that show draw bias in races of 7 furlongs or above. Amazingly there is a course that shows a strong bias at a distance of over 10 furlongs!

Chapter 3 discusses courses that show draw bias under specific conditions. For example, some courses only seem to show bias when the stalls are placed on a particular side of the track; others only seem to show bias on certain types of going; whereas bias at some courses is directly related to the number of runners in a race.

Chapter 4 looks at courses that cannot be considered truly "biased", but are still of interest in terms of the draw. The effect of "pace bias" will also be briefly discussed in this chapter.

Chapter 5 looks at the theory that if a horse runs well from a poor draw, it is a horse worth following closely in subsequent races. Some examples from the past five seasons are discussed and analysed. Having dealt in depth in the first four chapters with the draw,

Chapter 6 looks at the effect of weight carried by horses in handicaps, focusing on the shorter distances (especially 5 furlongs). In the past, statistics have indicated that horses at the top of the handicap perform better than those down the bottom. This will be examined in a similar way as the draw.

Chapter 7 caters for both the serious "form student", and the "armchair punter". For the "form student" it describes the methods I use when analysing a race, and for the armchair punter at a simple system, which combines both the draw and the weight carried by a horse. This has shown a clear profit over the past five seasons and is ideal for the armchair punter who wishes to make his selections in under 2 minutes. The idea behind the system is very simple and easy to adapt.

Find out more about the Chapter7 System HERE